Prediction of Harry Wendelken vs Ioannis Xilas at M25 Heraklion 11-22-25

• In the last six months, Harry Wendelken performs slightly better than Ioannis Xilas in second serve points, winning 42.03% compared to 40.78%.
• Ioannis Xilas, however, excels in return games, winning 50.33% of points on opponents' second serves, notably higher than Wendelken's 42.51%.
• For first serve returns, Xilas has a marginal edge, capturing 31.03% compared to Wendelken's 30.21%.
• When under pressure, Wendelken saves breakpoints 56.09% of the time, outperforming Xilas, who saves 50.21% of breakpoints.
• In terms of overall match success, Xilas boasts a higher win rate at 72.41% over the last year, compared to Wendelken’s 66.67%.
• Harry Wendelken's strongest surface is indoor hard courts with a 59% win rate, while Ioannis Xilas thrives on clay with the same percentage.
• Both players primarily compete in lower-tier $10K tournaments, but Xilas holds a superior recent win record, achieving 78.26%.
• Wendelken faces tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 394.69, whereas Xilas contends with players ranked on average 437.78.
• What about deciding sets? Xilas edges out slightly by winning 57% of such sets, while Wendelken clinches 54%.
• Break points conversion reveals that Wendelken converts 39.04% of opportunities, compared to Xilas’s 36.49%.

Editorial Prediction (November 22, 2025, UTC):

As we evaluate the players' recent statistics and performances, it's evident that each has unique strengths. Harry Wendelken is slightly more adept in converting break points and saving breakpoints when under pressure. These skills can be critical in tight match situations.

Ioannis Xilas demonstrates superior return game statistics, which can be decisive in preying on Wendelken's serves. Notably, Xilas's consistent performance in recent matches and a higher overall win rate provide an edge in this matchup.

While Wendelken competes against higher-ranked players, shedding light on his potential for overcoming challenging situations, Xilas appears more consistent in crucial scenarios, particularly boasting a 57% success rate in deciding sets.

Considering all aspects, Ioannis Xilas seems more likely to come out ahead in this upcoming tennis match, primarily due to his stronger return game and overall match-winning consistency.